Support2023-10-24T12:56:07+02:00

Support – How can we help?

Here you’ll find valuable content that helps you become a successful sports bettor.

Get in-depth content about sure betting, value betting and matched betting.

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More support offerings

1XBet – A notice before you use them2023-08-22T12:05:34+02:00

There have been multiple reports of unethical business practices by 1XBet:

  • Withdrawals taking many weeks to complete
  • Lack of support
  • Even a few frozen accounts or regular thefts have been reported

Some customers seem to use them without any issues at all though.

Be careful when using them. Use only small sums, or avoid altogether if unsure.

Read more about 1xbet in our Community

Adjusting your bankroll while betting to reduce variance2023-05-09T13:49:51+02:00

Do I need to adjust my bankroll when value betting?

If you frequently turn over a majority of your bankroll every day, it makes sense to adjust your bankroll continuously. The reason is that the Kelly stake sizing is calculated using your bankroll. If you have half your bankroll in unsettled bets, and still calculate stake sizing based on your full bankroll, you are taking more risk than you might want and variance will increase.

On the other hand, if you have a larger bankroll and only turn over a small percentage of it every day, there is little need to update your bankroll. Also, if you bet with just a small part of your entire bankroll, and use the rest as a reserve – you probably don’t need to make any adjustments.

Adjusting your bankroll automatically when value betting

When you are value betting, you will get the correct Kelly stake size even with multiple open bets. Just go to options and make sure Adjust for open bets is enabled. With this feature, there is no need to manually update your bankroll.

Asian Handicap in Sports Betting2023-11-23T14:00:55+01:00

Asian handicap betting is a very popular market to bet on and is one of many supported markets of RebelBetting. A handicap in betting means that the bookmaker has given a virtual advantage to one of the competitors.

They are often called Asian handicaps, or just ‘AH’, because of their popularity in many Asian countries. They are also known as line betting, the spread or points betting.

The main reason for handicapping is that the draw result is eliminatedRead all about Asian handicap bets in the Ultimate Guide to sure betting.

AH0 or Draw No Bet (DNB)

Draw no bet is a special case where no actual handicap is applied, but the draw is still eliminated. This is why it’s also sometimes called AH0 (Asian Handicap 0). If the match ends in a draw, your stake will be returned to you. No profit, no loss.

Half Asian Handicaps

The team gets half a goal handicap. This means the match including handicap cannot end in a draw. One of the teams will always win with “half a goal” when a handicap is applied. Unlike Draw No Bet, there is no money back in any case. You will either win or lose your bet.

Quarter Asian Handicaps

A quarter-goal Asian handicap is a 50/50 split between the two surrounding handicaps, with half of the total stake going to each one of them. This means that a 1.75 handicap is really half a 1.5 and half a 2.0 handicap.

If you see a quarter Asian Handicap of say -0.75 on RebelBetting, it may show up as “-0.5, -1.0” on some bookmakers like Bet365. This is because bookmakers split the Asian Handicap bet into two halves, with half of the stake going towards one handicap and half going towards the other. Similarly, if you see an Asian Handicap of +1.75, it is the same thing as “+1.5, +2.0”

So, if you want to place an Asian Handicap bet of -0.75 on Bet365, simply bet on the “-0.5,-1.0” option (don’t bet on both -0.5 and -1.0 separately).

Asian Handicap outcomes

Below is a handy Asian handicap outcome table describing the various handicap types, and what happens in various scenarios:

Handicap Team result Bet result Handicap Team result Bet result
0 Win Win 0 Win Win
Draw Stake refund Draw Stake refund
Lose Lose Lose Lose
– 0.25
(0.0, -0.5)
Win Win + 0.25
(0.0, +0.5)
Win Win
Draw Half lose Draw Half win
Lose Lose Lose Lose
– 0.50 Win Win + 0.50 Win Win
Draw Lose Draw Win
Lose Lose Lose Lose
– 0.75
(-0.5, -1.0)
Win by 2+ Win + 0.75
(+0.5, +1.0)
Win Win
Win by 1 Half win Draw Win
Draw Lose Lose by 1 Half Lose
Lose Lose Lose by 2+ Lose
– 1.00 Win by 2+ Win + 1.00 Win Win
Win by 1 Stake refund Draw Win
Draw Lose Lose by 1 Stake refund
Lose Lose Lose by 2+ Lose
– 1.25
(-1.0, -1.5)
Win by 2+ Win + 1.25
(+1.0, +1.5)
Win Win
Win by 1 Half lose Draw Win
Draw Lose Lose by 1 Half win
Lose Lose Lose by 2+ Lose
– 1.50 Win by 2+ Win + 1.50 Win Win
Win by 1 Lose Draw Win
Draw Lose Lose by 1 Win
Lose Lose Lose by 2+ Lose
– 1.75
(-1.5, -2.0)
Win by 3+ Win + 1.75
(+1.5, +2.0)
Win Win
Win by 2 Half win Draw Win
Win by 1 Lose Lose by 1 Win
Draw Lose Lose by 2 Half lose
Lose Lose Lose by 3+ Lose
– 2.00 Win by 3+ Win + 2.00 Win Win
Win by 2 Stake refund Draw Win
Win by 1 Lose Lose by 1 Win
Draw Lose Lose by 2 Stake refund
Lose Lose Lose by 3+ Lose

Profitable Asian Handicap betting

With RebelBetting smart betting tools you can profit from Asian Handicap betting – and a lot of other bet markets as well. Try value betting and sure betting today – two profitable betting strategies that will help turn your sports betting into investing. RebelBetting gives you expert sports betting advice making sure you will profit from sports betting. Get your free trial and profit on all the best odds!

Start your free trial

14 day RebelBetting trial
Value betting and sure betting included. No credit card required.

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Betfair and RebelBetting2023-05-09T13:43:14+02:00

If you don’t have a Betfair account yet, you should register now.

Betfair arbitrages

RebelBetting is a licensed Betfair software since 2014. This means we work together with Betfair to bring you the fastest possible odds updates and the most sports arbitrages.

New to sports arbitrage?

Did you know you can bet on both sides of a match and profit no matter the outcome?
RebelBetting helps turn gambling into an investment method using Betfair.

Read more about sports arbitrage (sure betting) here.

You need to log in to Betfair inside RebelBetting before you will get Betfair odds. This is a requirement from Betfair to keep track of their users.
Click on the “Betfair Login” button at the top right corner of RebelBetting to login. Your password will never be saved, only sent encrypted to Betfair.

Remember: if you don’t log in to Betfair you will not see any Betfair odds at all.

Placing a bet with Betfair

[singlepic id=78 w=320 h=240 float=]

Some general information about the layout above:

  • You find the best odds available to the left.
  • “Available” means available market depth at Betfair
  • If the available market depth is smaller than your suggested bet-size, a warning will appear: “Stake is larger than available market depth”

Placing a bet on Betfair through RebelBetting is extremely easy

  1. Change your stake if needed
  2. Click the yellow “Place bet” button

If the checkbox “Confirm bets before placing” is ticked, you will need to confirm the bet before the bet is placed. Otherwise the bet will be placed instantly.

Login at startup

We strongly recommended you login to Betfair automatically when RebelBetting starts up. This will enable automatic background fetching of updated Betfair odds, which means many more arbitrage situations.

[singlepic id=71 w=320 h=240 float=]

Login at startup is is enabled in Options / Bookmaker Setup / Betfair (click on screenshot above). You will then get a login form every time RebelBetting starts.

Betfair App Directory

RebelBetting is a certified Betfair application and can found in the Betfair App Directory.

Betfair Vendor Program

Proxy and Betfair

A security requirement from Betfair is that no proxy of any kind is used when communicating with them. This means if you must use a proxy, you cannot take advantage of the Betfair integration.
You do however have the option of running all Betfair communication directly, ignoring your proxy. (All other RebelBetting communication still use your proxy).

Can I run RebelBetting on a Mac?2023-08-22T08:36:30+02:00

Yes, RebelBetting products will work on a Mac. The RebelBetting sports betting software is platform-independent and can be used with any web browser.

  • Works on mobile, tablet and desktop

Learn more about sure betting as an investment method.

Can I run RebelBetting on Linux?2023-05-09T13:43:34+02:00

You can run RebelBetting on Linux. RebelBetting products are platform independent and can be used with any web browser. 

Learn more about sure betting as an investment method

Can’t access pinnacle.com?2023-05-09T13:43:28+02:00

If you can’t access pinnacle.com, please try their mirror website.

Cross Market sure bets2023-06-20T13:19:34+02:00

Cross market sure bets are a mix of two or more different markets. There are many possible combinations that can result in a sure bet. The examples below illustrate two basic combinations and how to calculate the results. Learn all about cross market bets and much more in the Ultimate sure betting guide.

Example 1

A regular threeway (1X2) arbitrage, but replacing the bet on the home team with a simple Asian handicap bet.

Bet on Bookmaker Bet type
Team1 Bookie1 AH1(0)
Draw Bookie2 X
Team2 Bookie3 2

Outcomes

Team1 win: You will win your bet at Bookie1.
A draw: You will get your stake refunded at Bookie1 and win your draw-bet at Bookie2.
Team2 win: You will win your bet at Bookie3.

 

Example 2

A regular threeway (1X2) arbitrage, replacing the bet on the home team with a quarter Asian handicap bet.

Bet on Bookmaker Bet type
Team1 Bookie1 AH1(-0.25)
Draw Bookie2 X
Team2 Bookie3 2

Outcomes

Team1 win: You will win your bet at Bookie1.
A draw: You will win your draw-bet at Bookie2. Also you will get half your stake at Bookie1 refunded (Since AH1(-0.25) implies that you bet one half of your stake on AH1(0) and the other half on AH1(-0.5))
Team2 win: You will win your bet at Bookie3.

Over 17.000 cross market combinations!

The above examples are only two of many combinations available. Currently we support over 17.000 cross market combinations!

Cross market sure bets

E-wallets in Sports Betting2023-05-09T13:31:40+02:00

We recommend that you use Neteller or Skrill (Moneybookers) as your E-wallet. With an E-wallet account, you will avoid most of the transaction fees to and from bookmakers. Often, bookmakers charge you a fee if you deposit and/or withdraw with VISA or MasterCard.

Opening your E-wallet account is easy, but you will need to verify certain things with them (depending on what E-wallet you choose). Please be advised that this verification process could take a few days – but it is time well spent in the long run!

Skrill 20% Cashback

Neteller 20 USD bonus

Expected Value, Closing Line and Variance2024-01-31T15:04:08+01:00
Variance means you will experience both downswings and amazing profits when value betting. Here we explain variance and the importance of thinking long-term.
Profit and closing line value (CLV)

Profit (green) and the closing line value (CLV, in grey). CLV is your expected value, over time.

Terminology

To understand why value betting works, when betting with sports betting software, you need to familiarise yourself with some terms.

Value

Value is the percentage you see beside every value bet in RebelBetting. This is the value (also called edge, ROI or yield) of this particular odds right now compared to the “true odds”. Note that a value might decrease or increase closer to match start, as the bookmakers converge closer to the true probability. This is called the closing line.

Closing Line Value (CLV)

Closing Line Value (CLV) is based on the sharp bookmaker’s odds just before match start. We call this the true odds. This is proven to be the best predictor of the outcome of a match, with accuracy uncannily close to 100%.

We use CLV as the predictor of your expected value (EV). Both these terms can be used, and they mean the same thing in RebelBetting.

If you regularly bet on odds higher than the closing line, you will be profitable. This is called beating the closing line. Value betting customers beat the closing line over 80% of the time.

Note that even though the sharp bookmakers make extremely accurate predictions, this does not mean you will win every bet. You often bet on value bets with true odds over 2.0 (lower than a 50% chance of winning), and often the underdog wins. This means your actual profit will at times differ a lot from the profit predicted by the CLV. This is called variance.

Variance

Variance measures the difference between your profit and the CLV. Or how far a set of numbers are spread out from their average value.

Profit, ROI and Yield

Profit, ROI and Yield measure your actual results, which depend on the outcome of the matches. Read more about the difference between ROI and Yield. In short, yield is the profit percentage per bet, or per euro staked. ROI (return on investment), is how much your bankroll has increased since the start.

Flat profit

Flat profit (or unit profit) is used when comparing users, betting systems or tipsters against each other, without taking bankroll size and betting strategy into account. It’s the profit you would have achieved if you used a flat staking strategy (also called fixed staking). This means betting one “unit” (1% of your bankroll) at each bet. A unit is different for every user, it can be €10 or €100 – since it’s a relative number you can easily compare the results. Note that betting using the Kelly criterion (a proportional staking strategy) will improve your profits compared to flat staking.

To view your value betting profit and CLV, they are shown at the top of the BetTracker, and also in your detailed reports.

Downswings are unavoidable, but temporary

Downswings can feel disheartening and unfair. But it’s something you will have to handle, because they are unavoidable. But if you don’t give up, you will also overcome them all.

So, how do you handle the psychological mind game of variance when betting? This video explains the risk strategy and teaches you how to cope with the rocky ride of variance. Do not underestimate the importance of long-term thinking to make a sustainable value betting profit.

Handle downswings

It’s easy to get stuck focusing on the downswings. This is because we all suffer from loss aversion – the pain of losing is psychologically about twice as powerful as the pleasure of gaining.

  • Take note and celebrate of your upswings – your lucky winning streaks when you’re clearly over expected value.
  • Understand why downswings happen. Let’s take the coin toss example again.

If you toss a coin 1500 times, there is a 52% chance you will get a streak of 10 heads in a row. This means if you place 1500 bets with an average true odds of 2.0 you have to expect 10 losses in a row. Or 10 wins. See this calculator.

But remember, this is with a 50/50 chance. With value betting you are always tossing a coin that is weighted in your favor, so your wins will outweigh your losses by around 4.5% per bet and euro staked.

You will overcome all downswings

If you’re having a downswing, there’s no need to panic. Your results will over time get closer to the expected value. This is because of two statistical tendencies: the law of large numbers and regression to the mean.

The law of large numbers explains that the average of the results obtained from a large number of trials should be close to the expected value, and will tend to become closer as more trials are performed.

This explains why your results tend to, over time, move closer and align with your expected value. Here are the real -life results of RebelBetting members value betting since 2020:

  • Of those placing 100 monthly bets or more, 79.7% are profitable
  • Of those placing 500 monthly bets or more, 90.0% are profitable
  • With 1000 monthly bets, expect 95% of months to be profitable

Regression to the mean is all about how data evens out. It basically states that if a variable is extreme the first time you measure it, it will be closer to the average the next time you measure it.

Large downswings from the expected value (a losing streak) is an extreme outcome and will tend to revert back to EV.

So if you have an expected value of 3%, your actual results will, over time, even out to 3% yield (profit per dollar spent). Once again, have patience and think long-term.

Coin toss example

The probability of a coin to land on Heads is 50%. But assume you get the odds of 2.10 on Heads and bet €10.

  • If you win you profit €11
  • If you lose you lose €10

To calculate the expected value of the bet you can use this formula:
(profit per bet * probability of winning in decimals) – (loss per bet * probability of losing in decimals).
In this case: (€11 * 0.5) – (€10 * 0.5) = €0.5
Therefore you would expect to make an average profit of €0.5 (or 5%) for each €10 bet because the odds offered are better than the implied odds of the coin toss.

However, after only one toss you would have either lost €10 or earned €11, not won €0.5. So if you only place 1 bet, the variance will be huge.

Variance will be higher in the beginning

Variance is particularly high when the sample size is small, for instance at the start of your value betting career:

Imagine if we place value bets with 4% value, at odds 2.00 with 1% of our stake. If the first bet loses your ROI is -1% but your yield is a scary sounding -100% (because your first and total stake was lost). If you then place two more bets which win, your ROI is just +1% but your yield is a fantastic +33%. This high variance will continue for some time, usually for hundreds of bets, especially if you have a streak of bad or good luck.

Streaks are more common than you think

After placing 1000 bets at 5% value (with win probability 53%), there is still a 25% risk that you will get 10 losses in a row!

This might make a scary-looking downswing. As bas as that sounds, the upside more than makes up for it. The chance of getting 10 wins in a row with that edge is much more likely; 56% over 1000 bets!

The more bets you place, the variance will have far less effect and your results will over time move closer and align with your expected value. Note that we’re not talking about a few hundred bets, it may require a couple of thousand bets. Read more about statistical significance in sports betting.

The importance of thinking long-term

It’s important to see value betting as a long-term way to profit. The number of bets, as well as using a staking and max bet strategy, play an important role in reducing variance. Here are some tips on how to reduce variance when value betting.

Simon at RebelBetting

Author: Simon Renström, RebelBetting Founder

Simon is the chief architect behind the sure betting and value betting products. A veteran software developer and entrepreneur that founded RebelBetting in 2007.

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Value betting and sure betting included. No credit card required.

Get started with a small bankroll2023-06-15T14:06:31+02:00

MatchedBetting

If you have less than €100, you should start bonus hunting, using matched betting. You will usually get €100-200 from each new bookmaker in a short while, so earning €1500 in a couple of weeks is common. While investing just a few hours effective time!

Value betting

After you have earned all possible bonuses, you can move up to Value betting. It’s our latest product, easy to use and with great yearly profits.

Sure betting

If you’re interested in minimizing your risks and bankroll swings, arbitrage trading (sure betting) is more your thing. Depending on your bankroll, we have two different alternatives.

If you have around €1500 or more, you’re ready to move up to Sure betting, our world-famous sports arbitrage serviceince 2008. The Pro version is an advanced product with very little risk and the same profit potential as value betting.

Both sure betting and value betting are included when you subscribe to RebelBetting.

Subscribe today

Start using the fastest, most user-friendly, value betting and sure betting service on the market. At any given time, RebelBetting finds thousands of profitable bets for you to bet on.

P.S. To get the best possible offer make sure you join for a longer period of time – up to 30% off.

RebelBetting Pro

199/ month
  • Value bets & sure bets
  • Maximize your profit
  • The most profitable bets
  • Access non-limiting bookies

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99/ month
  • Value bets & sure bets
  • Great when starting out
  • ROI over 30% / month
  •  

Compare Free, Starter and Pro

IncludedFree TrialStarterPro
Value and sure bets
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100+ bookies
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Betfair Sportsbook
BetTracker export
Nr of bets50 / dayUnlimitedUnlimited
Value betting
Exchanges
Sharps
Bet percentageUp to 5%Up to 7%Unlimited
Nr of custom filters24
Sure betting
Exchanges
Sharps
Middles
Bet percentageUp to 2%Up to 3.5%Unlimited

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Hide low tier events2023-05-09T11:45:31+02:00

By enabling the hide low tier events checkbox, most value- and sure bets low tier leagues and tournaments will be hidden from the Bets-view. This is a filter specific option, which means that it is only applied for a specific filter (if you use multiple filters).

Enabling this option will decrease the number of bets significantly, as most smaller leagues will not be shown, but might help you stay under the bookmaker’s radar longer. The default setting is to show low tier events.

Option to hide low tier events

Exceptions

Tennis tournaments will always show, even lower tiers.

Note that a small number low tier leagues might still show even when this setting is active due to different names and format across bookmakers.

 

Horse racing rules2023-06-15T14:49:03+02:00

When betting on horse racing, there are two rules which you need to be familiar with. Those two rules are Tattersall’s rule and Dead Heat rule. Tattersall’s rule applies when a horse is withdrawn from the race before start. Dead Head rule applies when two or more horses are deemed winners.

Horse arbs in RebelBetting are always between a regular bookmaker and an exchange. These rules generally doesn’t affect your arb since you back and lay the same horse.

Tattersall’s rule (Rule 4 c deductions)

When you place your bet, the odds displayed are based on all horses running in the race. If a horse is a non runner, i.e. not starting, the price will be revised for the remaining horses. Most bookmakers follow the same reduction table. The table can be found here

However, betting exchanges apply the reduction a bit different. While Rule 4 is normally applied on the winnings, exchanges applies the rule on total return.

Dead Heat rule

A term to denote a tie between two or, rarely, more runners in a race. If there is a Dead Heat, you will win part of your bet and lose part of your bet. This rarely occurs.

Start profiting on horse racing today with RebelBetting smart betting tools. You can try for free!

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How do I calculate the stakes in the arbitrage?2023-05-09T13:26:04+02:00

You don’t have to!

The integrated calculator of RebelBetting automatically calculates the bet size at every bookmaker depending on:

  • What the odds are

  • What type of arbitrage it is, and
  • Your total stake of the arbitrage

You can also enter a fixed stake at any bookmaker and the other stakes will update themselves accordingly.

There is also the option to maximize your stake to a certain outcome if you wish (and therefore profit more if that outcome hits).

Built in Sure Betting Calculator in RebelBetting
How to cancel your subscription2023-05-09T12:00:50+02:00

To cancel your subscription/payment profile, Go to Options > User in the program and click the ‘Cancel’ link. 

RebelBetting user account

What happens when I cancel?
You will still be able to use your RebelBetting service until your account expiry date. The only thing that happens when you cancel is that you won’t be re-billed for another month when the expiry date is due.

How to log your bets2023-06-15T14:02:17+02:00

Logging your bets is highly recommended for all users, both value betting and sure betting.

Benefits of logging your bets

  • Display your betting history, results and profits over time

  • You will always know where your money is

  • You can find patterns and improve your strategies

  • Get awesome statistics and pretty charts

How to log your bets

After placing your bet, click the “Log” button and the bet will be saved to the BetTracker. That’s it! It couldn’t be easier.

You log your bets in the bet details view. To view your logged bets, go to the BetTracker by clicking the “Tracker” button  (at the footer panel).

How to tell if a betting strategy is profitable or just lucky2023-06-15T14:48:07+02:00

The power of randomness is greater than you think

If you throw a coin ten times and gets ten heads in a row, it’s just an unlikely random event.

If you throw a coin ten thousand times and gets 55% heads, you know the coin is unbalanced.

Why? Because of statistical significance. Ten coin flips are just not enough data to draw any conclusions from.

It’s the same in sports betting.

If you place 100 bets with an average odds of 2.0 and get a 5% yield (profit per dollar invested), there’s still a one-in-three chance you got that result just out of pure luck. The p-value is below 0.3.

The number of bets required to reach statistical significance is much higher than what most people think intuitively.

For example, if you after 1100 bets still have 5% yield – you’re most likely on to something. The risk of these results being pure chance is now just 5% (p <0.05). So there is a 95% chance that there is something else going on. Like skill, or a profitable value betting product.

A p-value below 0.05 is generally accepted as “statistically significant” – but that is a highly arbitrary limit. There is nothing stopping you from requiring stricter proof, like a p-value below 0.01.

If you want to dive deeper into the math behind this, I recommend reading about statistical significance, the t-test and the p-value.

Start your free trial

14 day RebelBetting trial
Value betting and sure betting included. No credit card required.

Simon at RebelBetting

Author: Simon Renström, RebelBetting Founder

Simon is the chief architect behind the sure betting and value betting products. A veteran software developer and entrepreneur that founded RebelBetting in 2007.

I forgot my username / password2023-05-09T13:23:16+02:00

I have forgotten my password

If you have forgotten your password, click this link and follow the instructions to create a new.

I have forgotten my Username

If you have created your account with us a long time ago you may have a Username instead of logging in with your email address. If you have forgotten your Username please go to the value betting log in page or sure betting log in page and enter your email address to retrieve it.

Inverted Middle – What is it in sure betting?2023-05-09T13:28:53+02:00

An inverted middle is very risky to bet on.  In contrast to a standard middle, you will make a profit if the total or line falls inside a certain range, an inverted middle, also called a Polish middle, you will profit if the total or line falls outside a specific range. If the “middle” in an inverted middle occurs, you could lose both your bets, hence causing severe damage to your bankroll. Learn all about inverted middles in the Ultimate guide to sure betting. 

Basically, when betting on inverted middles, to obtain a profit you want the Asian Handicap or the Over/Under to fall outside of the middle. 

Polish middles are the most dangerous type of middles as there is a risk you can lose both of your bets, but there is of course also a chance you will profit. This is a form of betting on the opposite of a negative middles strategy. Rather than slightly losing money each time until eventually getting a big win, you win a high percentage return on your stake almost every game until you won’t.  As an example, you might win 15% every game, and then suddenly take a 100% loss. 

This method is more related to gambling than actual arbitrage betting. However, it could be a really profitable investment because there is a high percentage of profit. It will be a  benefit if you have skills in regular football betting to know what are the abilities of the teams and to know which Polish Middles condition is more probably to happen. That being said, do not bet on inverted middles if you are not 100% sure of what you´re doing. It is only recommended for very advanced sports traders who have high enough working capital to withstand a total loss on a bet. If you are new ti sure betting, your bankroll can be compromised by a Polish middle.

Is value and sure betting possible from my country?2024-02-05T11:41:52+01:00

It mostly depends on if the bookmakers will accept you as a customer. The more bookmakers you can use, the easier betting will be. The laws regarding online betting in your country will affect the bookmakers you’re allowed to register on. Sometimes a bookmaker will have some arbitrary business reason to restrict users from certain countries. (Note that the concept of arbitrage trading in itself is legal all over the world, as long as online betting is allowed).

If you’re from the UK, Scandinavia, most of Europe, Japan, South Korea or Australia, you’re in luck! You will be welcomed by most bookmakers. We don’t keep an updated list of allowed countries on all bookmakers, and since this information can be difficult to find, it might be quicker just to ask the bookmakers, or try to register. You can however check the most popular bookmakers in your country that are used by your fellow RebelBettors.

Even if you’re from a country with restrictions, there is hope! We have RebelBetting users from over 140 countries.
One option is to use the account of a friend in another country, and a VPN to effectively surf from that country. Note that this might break the terms & conditions of some bookmakers, so it’s your obligation to make sure this is OK. You can find more detailed information about this on the internet.

Read more about how to improve your privacy.

Isn’t Sports Arbitrage dead?2023-05-09T13:46:12+02:00

As long as the bookmakers compete against each other to get customers and are not in complete agreement of odds, there will always be sports arbitrage (or ‘sure betting‘) opportunities. Here’s why:

There are a lot of online sportsbooks. And a lot of bookmakers means a lot of competition over the customers. Sportsbooks use high odds to attract customers. And since odds are basically their estimation (+ their risk management), it’s basically a calculated guess. And bookmakers will not always agree with their competitors guesses.

This is why sports arbitrage works so well. By betting on two (or more) sufficiently high odds on different sportsbooks, you can cover all outcomes of a match and be guaranteed to win. As a RebelBetting user, you can take advantage of this situation and change the game to your advantage.

Sports arbitrages compared to financial arbitrages

Surebets differ in one crucial way compared to arbitrages in the financial markets. If you purchase gold on one exchange and then sell it in another, the price will be nearly identical. Financial arbitrages very rarely appear, and when they do they are immediately taken advantage of and disappear. The market always strives to be in perfect balance. This is not true for sports arbitrage.

If you think of the bookmakers as the markets, the odds can be seen as the price on a specific product. However, the odds/price is not reliant on supply and demand like in the stock market. It’s more a combination of the bookmakers estimation, risk management and market positioning (having attractive odds, a higher margin and possibly more risk). This is why odds are rarely identical across all bookmakers, and why thousands of sports arbitrages exist at any given moment.

Not convinced? Take a FREE 14 day trial of Sure betting and see for yourself. 

Kelly criterion for stake sizing2023-11-23T11:00:06+01:00

The Kelly criterion is a staking strategy that calculates the optimal stake for maximum long-term growth of your bankroll, based on the value of the bet.

It is a scientific betting method that is mathematically proven to lead to higher wealth generation than any other strategy in the long run. It was first described by J. L. Kelly Jr, a researcher at Bell Labs, in 1956.

We use the Kelly criterion when recommending the optimal stake when you’re betting on value bets.

Fractional Kelly

The full Kelly criterion suggests that a bettor should wager a percentage of their bankroll equal to the expected edge divided by the odds, which is often a very aggressive strategy.

In the case of sports betting, the expected edge is often difficult to accurately estimate, and the odds can be very volatile. As a result, using the full Kelly criterion can be very risky and lead to excessive losses, even with a significant edge.

On the other hand, a fractional Kelly criterion (betting only a fraction of the optimal full Kelly bet size) can provide a more conservative approach to bankroll management. By betting a smaller percentage of the optimal bet size, bettors can reduce the risk of large downswings while still maintaining a positive expected value over the long run. Therefore, in sports betting, it is generally recommended to use the fractional Kelly criterion rather than the full Kelly criterion in order to manage risk and maintain a steady growth of your bankroll.

You want to find a comfortable balance between expected profit and money risked. Decreasing the Kelly percentage will decrease your downswings, while only decreasing your profits very slightly.

30% Kelly is the default setting in RebelBetting and hits a good balance between profit and risk.

We recommend 20% when you’re starting out with a small bankroll or just want to decrease the risk of large downswings. You can change this by going to Options. But before you do, please make sure you have understood how your Kelly stake sizing affects variance.

Using a Kelly above 50% is not recommended and will lead to very high variance and steeper draw-downs, with very little increase in profits.

Fractional Kelly stake sizing can also be combined with a max bet size.

Kelly and multiple simultaneous bets

The original Kelly criterion is proven to be mathematically optimal when placing a single bet, an infinite number of times. In reality, your goal is to maximize your expected bankroll growth over a finite number of bets, often having many simultaneous bets open.

Automatically adjust bankroll for open bets

When you have many open bets, they must be subtracted from your effective bankroll used when calculating the Kelly stake size for the next bet, to maintain the same risk level.

This is especially important if you often bet a majority of your bankroll each day. If you have 50 open bets and bet the same amount on every bet, you are effectively ignoring the Kelly criterion, resulting in high variance.

On the other hand, if you only bet 10% of your bankroll every day, you will not notice much difference. The feature can be turned off in Options, just disable “Adjust for open bets”.

In RebelBetting, we calculate this adjusted bankroll automatically for you. Just keep the checkbox “Adjust for open bets” enabled in Options (it’s enabled by default). This will slowly decrease the recommended stake as the number of open bets increases, helping you manage your risk while optimizing your profits.

Comparison charts

Here you can see how your bet size and bankroll will change when adjusting for open bets or not. In the example, we’re having multiple 5% value bets open simultaneously.

Without adjusting for open bets

Bankroll when not adjusting Kelly stake size for multiple open bets
Bet size when not adjusting Kelly stake size for multiple open bets

Here you bet the full “single bet Kelly” percentage of 1,4% on every bet. You can place 70 bets before your bankroll is fully turned over. You notice there is no decrease in bet size (and risk) even though your effective bankroll decreases.

When adjusting your bankroll for open bets

Bankroll when adjusting Kelly stake size for multiple open bets
Bet size when adjusting Kelly stake size for multiple open bets

Here the bet size is decreasing together with the bankroll. Note that maintaining a proper Kelly criterion means lower risk, lower variance and smaller drawdowns, but also slightly less average profit. Your bankroll will never run out, since the strict Kelly criterion will never suggest you bet your entire remaining bankroll.

Kelly Stake Sizing strategy vs Flat staking

The Kelly staking strategy is generally considered to be a better option than flat staking when value betting because it allows you to adjust your bet size based on your estimated edge over the market.
This means that if you have a high edge, you can increase the stake; whereas, if you have a low edge, you can reduce the stake. By adapting your stake size in this way, you are able to maximize your profits and minimize your losses over time. Check out the video to learn more:

Matchbook tips & commission explained2023-05-09T13:41:16+02:00

Matchbook is a bit different when compared to Betfair, Betdaq or Smarkets. Below are som general tips to make it easier using Matchbook.

1. Enter your Matchbook settings and select “Back-Lay” under “Exchange Type” (highlighted in the screenshot below). Now you will see the odds in the same way as in Betfair, instead of Matchbooks “Binary” odds which can be difficult to understand.[singlepic id=32 w=320 h=240 float=none]

2. Let’s say that you wish to lay (bet against) Man City. In the below screenshot you can see that the lay-odds is 3.560 (with a market depth of $2,500). Click on that odds to add the bet into your “Order Pad”.[singlepic id=30 float=none]

3. “b-stake” is your “Backers stake” (the amount you wish to win). “L-stake” is your liability (what you risk to lose).[singlepic id=31 float=none]

For more information about lay-betting, just go to the lay-bet FAQ.

 

Matchbook commission explained

Matchbook charges 2-4% commission on bets. Full explanation here

0% Commission Promotion

Sometimes Matchbook runs promotions where they set commission to 0% for RebelBetting customers.
If you have registered for this promotion with your Matchbook username, the comission calculation is automatically adjusted.
If you HAVEN’T registered, the ROI calculation is incorrect and you need to calculate yourself manually.

 

 

Max stake percentage when value betting2024-02-08T15:15:42+01:00

We recommend setting a limit on your maximum stake when placing value bets. The max stake is set in percent relative to your bankroll. Setting a max stake is done to reduce variance. Also check if you need to keep your bankroll updated.

Generally, the fractional Kelly criterion is a better method to get maximum long-term profit. However, you might also want to reduce variance, especially when starting out. This is best done with setting a safe max stake of around 1%. If you’re all about maximizing your profits, and can handle downswings, you might want to increase max stake to 2-3% and let the Kelly criterion work more effectively.

If you do this, you might also consider decreasing your current bankroll (consider it like a virtual or temporary bankroll) until you reach a comfortable max stake sum.

If you often hit your max stake percentage when betting, the Kelly criterion is not working efficiently. Solve this by adjusting your max stake percentage and the bankroll.

Set your max stake, and more settings, under Options.

Mixed Rules in Tennis2023-05-09T13:35:47+02:00

If you bet on a tennis arbitrage at say, Bwin and Expekt, they both have the Group1 rules. This means that even if a player retires, the arb is valid, and you´ll get paid the expected amount regardless of who retires (or who wins). As long as you place arbs on bookies that have the same rules, you’re home free.

But what happens if you bet on “mixed rules”, where the bookies have different rules)? (For advanced arbitrage bettors only)

Let’s see what happens if you bet $500 with odds 2,05 on Player1 on Bookie1 that has the “Ball Served” rule, and $500 with odds 2,05 on Player 2 on Bookie2 that has the “1 Set Completed” rule.

  • If neither tennis player retires, you´ll get paid your expected arbitrage percentage ($25 or 2,5%)
  • If Player1 retires before the first set is completed, Player2 officially wins the match. You have then lost your bet at Bookie1, and your bet at Bookie2 will get refunded to your account. In total, you´ve lost the entire wager amount on Bookie1 (-$500).
  • If Player2 retires before the first set is completed, Player1 officially wins the match. You have then won your bet at Bookie1 (+$525), and your bet at Bookie2 will get refunded.
  • If Player1 or Player2 retires after the first set is complete, the bet stands on both bookies, and you´ll get paid your expected arbitrage percentage ($25 or 2,5%).

Though not common, it happens sometimes that tennis players retire. The risk of this happening depends on a lot of factors, such as which the participants are (some players retires more than others) the weather condition, the surface of the event (hard court, clay etc) and so on. For example, in Wimbledon 2009, Michael Llodra had to retire when colliding with the umpire’s chair and a ball girl.

In other words, it could be extremely risky betting on mixed rules, and therefore we do not recommend doing it if you do not fully understand the risks of it.

However, if you do understand the risks and are comfortable with the variance then it can be very profitable in the long run to bet on mixed rules. This is because there are a high number of bets available with mixed rules.

Negative Middle – What it is in sure betting2023-05-09T13:30:43+02:00

As you might know, regular middles are positive arbs with a middle. For instance, you could bet on an American Football middle:

Tennessee (-7) @ 1.91
Pittsburgh (7.5) @ 2.14

If the middle doesn’t hit, you will make your regular arb percentage (0.92% in the example above). If the middle does hit (Tennessee wins with exactly 7 points), you will win your bet on Pittsburgh and get your bet on Tennessee refunded (making a profit of around 50%).

 

A negative middle has a negative arb percentage, but the spread can be bigger:

Tennessee (-6) @ 1.91
Pittsburgh (7.5) @ 2.04

This middle has a negative arb percentage (-1.36%), but the middle is 1.5 points. In this example, if Tennessee wins with 6 points, you will make a profit of around 50%. But if they win with 7 points, you will win both your bets (making a profit of nearly 100%).

Think of negative middles as a long term investment
In the second example above, the negative middle was -1.36%. This means that if the middle does not hit, you will lose 1.36% of your total stake. This may sound pretty bad, but think about it for a second; You only need to hit the spread once every 73.5 times in order for the arb to be profitable in the long run.

An additional upside on negative middles
As negative middles aren’t obviously in an arb situation, they usually stick around longer than ordinary middles and arbs. This means more time for you to bet on them, and less risk that the bookmakers will get a whiff of what your up to!

Neteller problems2023-05-09T13:44:32+02:00

If you have forgotten your Neteller login or password, or your account has been frozen, you need to go to Neteller support.

If you get information that he login or password is wrong, and you are certain they are not: This can be because your “secure id” has expired. Once every year you need to log in to Neteller to get a new secure id. If the secure id has expired, you will see this error when trying to log in. Log in to Neteller and if you get information about a new secure id, your account can now be used to subscribe to RebelBetting.

If you get any other error message on Neteller when trying to subscribe, contact RebelBetting support and send the exact error message so we can help you.

Privacy and hiding your identity2023-08-30T14:43:21+02:00

It’s a good idea to keep as much privacy as possible towards the bookmakers when you’re using profitable betting products.

Step one is to hide your IP number and making it harder to uniquely identify (“fingerprint”) you. The first rule is to use a VPN service. VPN stands for “virtual private network” and means that all your internet traffic goes through a “tunnel” that secures, encrypts and anonymizes you and your location.

Why you should use a VPN

  • If you want to create a second account on a bookmaker, you need to use a different IP-number if you want to avoid suspicion.
  • If you want to register on a bookmaker that has restricted your country, a VPN can make it look like you’re located somewhere else.
  • Allows you to place bets from restricted countries with censorship.
  • If you’re labeled as an expert trader by one bookmaker, you might get limited by others if they can uniquely identify you. There are rumors of bookmakers working together to identify unwanted players. Using a VPN and the tips below will help you stay unlimited for longer in these cases.

Bonus benefits:

  • View restricted streaming services and TV channels that are blocked in your country.
  • Your traffic is never logged and cannot be traced.

We have done a thorough comparison of all VPN services and can strongly recommend NordVPN. For a thorough explanation of why, read our review of NordVPN and get a 77% discount!

More tips

We have gathered most of our tips for staying anonymous here.

Clear all cookies between sessions. Bookmakers can track you through third-party sites like advertising networks and social media.

Do this: Make a special shortcut to start a web browser in private / incognito mode.

Hide your social media identity. Never use your social media email when registering with bookmakers. They can and will profile you and your network. If you follow a known sports trader on Twitter, that might be enough to label you as unwanted.
Do this: If you’re surfing using RebelBetting, you’re safe. We use a completely separate web browser, with cookies and cache files that are never shared with your regular web browser. If using a web browser, use the clear cookies method above.

If you have multiple accounts, you need to take extra precautions. Don’t use the bookmakers’ mobile app (they have multiple ways of detecting you, including GPS location). Be even more careful with clearing cookies, preferably use another Windows (a virtual PC is a simple method) or at the minimum another web browser. Always use a VPN and change IP between logins. Use different deposit and withdrawal methods.

It’s very easy to detect if you’re using the same web browser on the same computer for example. Bookmakers can even detect the fonts you have installed in your OS. Use this fingerprint checker.

If you use a VPN and these tips, you will be as safe as is practically possible. If you want even more protection, you can set up one or several virtual machines with a clean installation of the most common Windows OS and web browser.

If you haven’t already, set up a VPN now!

Reliability – What does it mean in RebelBetting?2023-05-09T13:28:03+02:00

The reliability of a bet is calculated with several different variables. Among these variables are for example:

  • The percentage of the sure bet (unusually high sure bets decrease the reliability)
  • Last bet date (if the last bet date differs too much, the reliability goes down)
  • How well the participants’ name match each other

 

The reliability of a sure bet is meant to be seen as a guideline for you when you bet, but please be thorough and always check the validity of the arb yourself.

Retention Rate2023-05-09T13:42:26+02:00

Retention rate is an indication of how much of your bonus you will retain after placing a bet.

What does retention rate mean?

A bet with 100% retention rate means that if you bet your entire bonus on that bet your entire bonus will be intact. That is, if you have a €50 bonus and bet the whole amount on one outcome, you will still have €50. A bet with 95% retention rate and a €50 bonus means that if you bet the whole amount you will have €47.50 left of your bonus (95% of 50).

This calculation applies to free bets where the whole bonus amount can be wagered and cleared in a single bet. A bonus with rollover requirements is calculated a bit different. (Rollover means you need to bet the money a fixed number of times before the bonus can be withdrawn). A bonus of €50 with a rollover requirement of 5 times means that a total amount of €250 has to be wagered. When wagering €250 with a retention rate of 95% you will have €237.50 left (95% of 250). This means that you have lost €12.50 when clearing your bonus. Since the bonus was €50 you have retained €37.50 (50-12.50).

Another way of calculating this is as follows. You loose 5% (100 – 95) each time you bet your €50 bonus, which calculates to €2.50. Loosing €2.50 for 5 consecutive times equals €12.5.

What if the retention rate is higher than 100%?

Now, imagine that you wager your bonuses on bet with retention rates higher than 100%. This means that you will keep your entire bonus, and possibly also earn a bit more on each bet. Select bets with as high retention rate as possible since it will let you keep as much of your bonus as possible when meeting the rollover requirements.

MatchedBetting often displays these positive retention rates because we have access to arbitrage odds.

Read more about the different types of bonuses.

Reversed Participants in RebelBetting2023-05-09T13:34:00+02:00

If you get the Reversed Participants notice in the bet card, it’s just to let you know that the order of the participants might not be the same on both bookmakers.

For instance, on Pinnacle it might be:
Korea – Spain

And on Betfair it might be:
Spain – Korea

This could happen for instance if a match is played at neutral ground and no team is the home team. When the participants are reversed, you must (as you always should be doing) make sure that you back the correct players on the correct sportsbook, as it might be confusing when the participants do not have the same order at both bookmakers.

Risks with high arbitrages2023-05-09T13:43:40+02:00

Trying to go after the highest arbs all the time is usually not a good strategy in the long run. The reason is that high arbs have a higher risk of including odds that are bookmaker mistakes, or so called palpable errors. Sometimes, the bookmaker will even void your bet. While they do pay you back your stake, it can still cost you if the voided bet was the winning one. Betting on smaller arbs more frequently will result in a lesser risk for palps and you might also be limited less quickly.

Also, as a guideline, double-check that the arb you bet on is correct and that there hasn’t been a market mix up. Be extra cautious when it comes to arbs over 10%. Also, check that the teams you are betting on are playing in the same tournament before placing the arb. 

Risks with high arbitrages
ROI vs Yield – what’s the difference?2023-11-23T13:56:38+01:00

ROI and Yield are a couple of the most important metrics in sports betting. In this FAQ, you will get to know what they mean and why they are important if you want to become a profitable sports bettor.

ROI – Return On Investment

ROI in sports betting is a measure of how much your bankroll increased during a specific period. This could for example be one month, one year or even since the beginning of your betting career.

ROI will typically increase over time, whereas Yield will stay roughly the same.

How do you calculate ROI?

Calculating your ROI is pretty straight forward. Just divide your Total profit with your Starting bankroll.

Example: You have made a profit of €900 and started with a €3,000 bankroll. To calculate your ROI: 900 / 3,000 = 0.30 = 30%. This means that your ROI would be 30% in this case.

Note: In RebelBetting, we show the ROI for each individual value- or sure bet. In this context, ROI shows how much you will profit by betting on one value bet or sure bet, compared to the money invested (the total stake).

Yield – Return per bet

Yield, in sports betting terms, means how much you profit per bet, or per unit invested (what you staked).

Your Yield is a measure on how efficient your betting is. It doesn’t take the size of your bankroll into account, so it’s a good relative number to compare with other trading strategies, or other users.

Also, Yield doesn’t change depending on bankroll and will typically not increase over time, as ROI does.

How to calculate Yield?

Calculating Yield in sports betting is also very easy. You just divide your Total profit with your Total stake (or turnover).

Example: As in the previous example, your Total profit is  €900. To achieve this profit, you have staked a total of €20,000. To calculate your Yield: 900 / 20,000 = 0.045 = 4.5%. This means that your ROI would be 4.5% in this case.

Equally important – the Closing Line Value (CLV)

Another equally important metric to measure if your betting is profitable is the closing line value or CLV.

Proven betting strategy

Value betting and sure betting by RebelBetting are proven betting strategies that actually work. It’s just math. If you trust the process, you will be profitable in sports betting!

Start your free trial

14 day RebelBetting trial
Value betting and sure betting included. No credit card required.

Same bookie notice2023-05-09T13:27:14+02:00

The SameBookie notice is displayed when selecting an arb where two or more outcomes in an arb is on the same bookmaker.

It is not recommended to place two bets on the same match on the same bookmaker, as this might flag you as a sharp bettor or arber in the bookmakers point of view. Avoid this and your bookmaker accounts will probably last longer!

Please note that this is not a problem with non-limiting bookmakers, like Pinnacle, Betfair, Betdaq and Smarkets. You can bet 2/3 outcomes at these bookmakers.

Selecting a different bookmaker domain2023-05-09T13:41:47+02:00

You can select to use a different bookmaker domain if the standard bookmaker domain is not available from your country. For instance from bet365.com to bet365.com.au. This can be changed under Options/Bookmaker.

If you select another bookmaker domain, please note the following

  • No guarantee can be made that any eventual deep link will work. Sorry about this!
  • The bookmakers odds (that is in the arb or value bet) might not be available at another bookmaker domain. This is because of the fact that some bookmakers offer different odds (and sometimes not even odds at all) on the same match depending on what domain you are using.

Important: Do not change the bookmaker domain unless you absolutely have to!

Sure betting profit calculator2023-06-16T08:38:26+02:00

It is realistic to make around 10-20% profit of your total bankroll every month – but you can of course make even more. One key factor is the amount of time you spend arbitrage betting.

Take a look yourself to see how much money you’ll make with when Sure betting!

  • Initial investment
    Number of sure bets placed per day
    Betting days per month
    Estimated hourly profit

    Your total profit per month

Don’t forget, like most things it depends on how much time and effort you spend.

More user results

Curious to see real results from RebelBetting users? Join the RebelBetting community. This is a place for you to share and discuss results, betting strategies and much more.

RebelBetting Profit Guarantee

Profit Guarantee

We know our products work.
In fact, we are so confident about it that we offer a Profit Guarantee.
If you don’t make a betting profit in the first month you get another month for free.
Again and again until you profit. We take all the risk.

Taxation on bets2023-05-09T13:41:59+02:00

Some bookmakers may charge a tax on your bets, depending on where you reside or where the bookmaker has its license. We’ve developed a solution for this tax where you can specify which taxation method (if any) is applied to any bookmaker account.

The sure bet / value percentage will then be adjusted accordingly, fully automatic of course. You can find this setting under Options/Bookmaker. You can select each bookmaker in the drop-down menu and specify tax settings individually.

There are different ways in how bookmakers handle taxation. Some take a percent of the Profit or a percent of the Stake. Other bookmakers chose to completely ignore it (doesn’t charge any tax on your bets).

bwin-tax

Taxation table for German customers

Below you can find the taxation percentage for customers from Germany for some bookmakers. Please let us know if any of the sportsbooks below have changed their tax percentages.

SportsbookGerman taxation %
888sport5%
Bet3655%
Betano5%
BetVictor0%
Betway5%
Bwin5%
Interwetten5.3%
LeoVegas5%
Sportingbet5%
Tipico0%
Mobilbet5%
Suprabets0%
Tennis betting rules2023-09-07T13:23:25+02:00

The bookies have different retirement rules on certain sports, most notably in tennis.

Unless the rule is satisfied, all bets will be voided and your stake returned.

There are four different tennis rules on the market today, and they can be categorized as follows.

For the bet to stand, only one serve is required in the match. That means that if a player retires (due to an injury for example) at any time after the first serve, the bet stands with the bookies that have this rule on tennis.
For the bet to stand, at least one set needs to be completed in the match. That means that if a player retires after one set has been completed, the bet stands. However, if a player retires before one set has been completed, the bet is void (cancelled) and you will get your stake back.

For the bet to stand, at least two sets needs to be completed in the match. That means that if a player retires after two sets have been completed, the bet stands. However, if a player retires before two sets have been completed, the bet is void (cancelled) and you will get your stake back.

The entire match has to be completed in order for the bet to stand. A player can’t retire without the bet being void.

Don't gamble! Turn tennis betting into an investment instead

Make constant profits betting on sports with the world's leading value betting or sure betting products.
Now with a 100% Profit Guarantee.

Tennis rules on your bookmaker

Use the search function or browse through all supported bookmakers below.

SportsbookTennis rules
1xBet1 Set
32Red1 Set
3et
7betMatch
888sportMatch
AsianconnectMultiple
ATG1 Set
B-betsMatch
BaumbetMatch
Bet-at-homeMatch
Bet365Match
BetanoMatch
Betanysports1 Set
BetCity1 Set
BetClicMatch
Betfair Sportsbook
Betfair1 Set
BetInAsiaMultiple
BetiniaMatch
BETISN
BetMGMBall Served
BetmotionMatch
Betonline1 Set
BetRebelsMatch
BetRivers1 Set
Bets101 Set
Betsafe1 Set
BetssenMatch
Betsson1 Set
BetUK1 Set
BetVictorMatch
BetwayMatch
BetWinner
BodogMatch
BovadaMatch
BoylesportsMatch
BwinBall Served
CampeonbetMatch
CampobetMatch
Casumo1 Set
Coral1 Set
Danske SpilBall Served
DiamondSportsBookMatch
DoradobetMatch
DraftKings1 Set
DRF1 Set
ESPN BET
ExpektMatch
EurobetBallServed
Everygame (Intertops)Match
EvobetMatch
Fanduel
FoxbetUS
GamebookersMatch
GiocoDigitaleBall Served
GunLake1 Set
GastonredMatch
GoldenpalaceMatch
InterwettenBall Served
JupiCasinoMatch
KtoMatch
Ladbrokes1 Set
LadbrokesAU1 Set
LapilandersMatch
LeoVegas1 Set
LowVig1 Set
Marathonbet1 Set
Matchbook1 Set
MelBet1 Set
MerrybetMatch
MidniteMatch
MrGreen1 Set
NedsAUMatch
NoAccountBet1 Set
Nordicbet1 Set
NovibetBall Served
PaddyPower1 Set
Paf1 Set
PalmerbetMatch
PameStoiximaMatch
ParimatchMatch
PartyPokerBall Served
Parx1 Set
PastonMatch
Pinnacle1 Set
PlayUpAUMatch
PointsbetMatch
Redbet1 Set
Rivalo1 Set
SBObetMatch
Scooore1 Set
SisalMatch
SkybetMatch
Smarkets1 Set
SnaiBall Served
SONSofSLOTSMatch
SpeedyBetMatch
SportingbetBall Served
SportmarketMultiple
SportsbetAUMatch
SportsbettingAG1 Set
StarCasinoMatch
SvenskaSpelMatch
SvenbetMatch
Tab AUMatch
TigerGaming1 set
TipbetMatch
TipicoMatch
TitanbetMatch
TonyBetMatch
TotoMatch
TUSKCasinoMatch
TwinSpires1 Set
StoiximanMatch
Unibet1 Set
VeikkausBall Served
WagerWeb1 set
William HillMatch
WilliamHill SE1 Set
WilliamHillUS
X30001 Set
10BetMatch
12betMatch
12BetUKMatch
138Match
188betMatch
18BetMatch
21Bet1 Set
5Dimes1 Set
TOPsportMatch
Victor Chandler
William Hill AU
WinnerMatch
WSEX
XTiPMatch

Please note!

Bookmakers can change their rules at any time. Therefore, we can not guarantee that the information in this FAQ is 100% up-to-date.

Upgrade your subscription2023-05-09T11:47:03+02:00

This FAQ explains how to upgrade your account from Starter to Pro.

If you have a Starter subscription and want to upgrade to Pro, follow these steps:

  • Login to your account

  • Go to Options -> User

  • Click ‘Upgrade to Pro’ and follow the instructions

RebelBetting user account

Your Starter subscription will be upgraded to Pro and you’ll be charged the price difference between Starter and Pro. Your current renewal date will remain the same as you had before.

If the monetary value remaining on your Starter account is greater than the price of Pro, your existing days will be converted according to the price difference and you will not be charged anything until your upcoming Pro renewal date.

This is not yet automated, please follow the directions below if you want to upgrade to a longer Pro subscription:

  1. Cancel your current subscription, then
  2. Subscribe to any longer subscription of RebelBetting Pro.
  3. Contact us afterward and we’ll convert the days you had left on your Starter subscription to Pro.
Value betting on sharp bookmakers2023-05-09T11:53:17+02:00

Is it possible to do value betting on sharp bookmakers? Yes. But when it comes to betting against the sharp bookmakers and exchanges, it’s a different ball game. 

Before we dive deeper into this, first you might want to read about the difference between soft and sharp bookmakers to understand the difference between these two types of bookmakers. Many Asian bookmakers are considered sharp. 

Making a profit value betting on sharp bookmakers and exchanges is more difficult than using only soft bookmakers. If you’re a beginner, you might consider betting on soft bookmakers, to begin with. Or only bet on the sharp bookmakers with proven profitable results.

The reason for this is that a sharp bookmaker generally has odds that are closer to the true probability, compared to a soft bookmaker. This means you have to consider more parameters than just the value percentage:

  • We calculate the value by using a combination of sharp bookmaker odds, algorithms and market bias. But sometimes the sharps don’t agree with each other and have quite different odds. In a case like this, you need to determine the reliability of the value. This requires knowledge and experience.
  • You need to consider the time until the match start. Bookmakers have the least amount of confidence in odds when they are first published, growing increasingly confident as the market adjusts. So there might be a lot of value in early markets, but also a lot of unreliable odds.
  • Sport and leagues. Some sharps have excellent odds (with little value) on a particular sport or league, but less so on others.

In short: It’s more difficult to value bet on sharps. If you’re a beginner you might want to start with soft bookmakers until you’re more experienced. The upside is: there still exist a lot of value on sharps, and you can bet large amounts.

Value betting profit calculator2023-06-15T14:04:30+02:00

Monthly ROI (investment growth) for value betting is over 30% and there is a proven yield of over 3% (profit per bet). Try out the value betting calculator to see for yourself how much you can make.

Can you make money value betting?

If you stick to the strategy and trust the underlying math, you will make money in the long run. This is statistically proven. You will not get a profit on every bet. But as you will be placing bets that has a higher probability to win then the odds imply, you will over time make money value betting.

Play around with the value betting profit calculator and see for yourself.

  • Initial investment in €
    Number of value bets placed per day
    Betting days per month
    Estimated hourly profit
    Monthly ROI

    Your total profit per month

Calculations are based on actual statistics from our users since 2019.

Double your money in 3 months

Sound too good to be true? That’s actually the average result of our members. Below you can see updated results from our users.

Betting with a positive expected value (+EV) means that the likelihood of winning is greater than the odds presented by the sportsbook. The RebelBetting value bet finder identifies bets where you hold a mathematical edge compared to the bookmaker.

Curious to see more real results from Value betting users? Join the RebelBetting community. This is a place for you to share and discuss results, betting strategies and much more.

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    In fact, we are so confident about it that we offer a Profit Guarantee.
    If you don’t make a betting profit in the first month you get another month for free.
    Again and again until you profit. We take all the risk.

    What are Middles in sure betting?2023-05-09T13:38:17+02:00

    A potentially very profitable situation can occur in sure betting and they are called middles. A middle is an arbitrage bet where if a match ends with a certain result, you can either win one bet and get the other bet refunded, or win both your bets.

    Read all about middles in the Ultimate guide to sure betting

    What bookmaker account language should I use?2023-05-09T13:25:40+02:00

    As both value betting and sure betting are web based services, it doesn’t matter what language you use at the sportsbooks!

    What currency should I use?2023-05-09T13:27:21+02:00

    You should strive to have every account (bookie accounts, e-wallets etc.) in the same currency. USD, EUR or GBP are the most supported currencies out there.

    If you have every account in the same currency, you’ll minimize the unnecessary costs of currency exchanges. You will also avoid the hassle of having to calculate a bet size in a different currency.

    We do offer Multi Currency Support though!

    What does Stake Kidnapping mean?2023-05-09T13:37:59+02:00

    Stake kidnapping is a term used in RebelBetting to identify bookmakers which practice, what we consider, near fraudulent behavior with customers bets.

    A proper and respectable bookmaker will honor the bets taken and pay out potential winnings, with exception of the palpable error rule. A confirmed bet can’t be cancelled by you as a customer and neither by them.

    However, some bookmakers feel that they have the right to accept your bet and at a later time decide whether to accept parts or all of your stake. These bookmakers ‘kidnap’ your stake while they decide what to do with it. You as a customer have no option to cancel the bet while it is up for review. A more respectable way of handling this, would be like the bookmaker Betsson which gives the user an option whether to send all or parts of the stake for review or to edit the bet.

    Bookmakers identified with this behavior are:

    Betsafe

    Betsafe have sometimes chosen to reject parts or all of the stake long after a bet was initially confirmed. This might be done without any notification which would indicate that the bet is up for review. The stake might simply be kidnapped and users may find themselves in an unwanted situation. We have however also gotten reports from our customers that hasn’t seen this behavior with Betsafe.

    Expekt

    Expekt used to provide the user with a Betsson-like option where the choice was given to cancel the bet, edit the bet or send parts or all of the stake for review. This would let the user back out of an unwanted situation. Now, you will be notified only AFTER you press confirm, whether your stake is kidnapped or not.

    What is a deposit or sign up bonus?2023-05-09T11:46:14+02:00

    If you receive a deposit bonus or sign up bonus for €25, and you place the full amount on the same match as above, you will win €37.50. You will in other words keep the full amount, as the €25 bonus is credited to you.

    Bonuses usually have roll over requirements, so you might have roll over (bet) x times the bonus before you can make a withdrawal. But the bonus amount of €25 is yours.

    These bonuses can only be claimed when registering for the first time, if not specifically written in the terms. There are also reload bonuses, which can also be claimed by existing customers. These bonuses usually appear around big events such as the World Cup, a tennis Grand Slam etc.

    See other bookmaker bonuses.

    What is a Free Bet?2023-05-09T11:46:22+02:00

    A free bet is for example if you get €25 to bet with at a bookmaker. If you place the full amount on a match with odds 1.5, you will win €37.50. But the bookmaker will only pay out your winnings (€12.50). This is a SNR (stake not returned) free bet. It’s also commonly called a “matched bet”, where the bookmaker doubles your bet amount up to a specific limit.

    Since you will only get to keep the winnings in a free bet, you want to bet on a high odds that maximizes your potential profits. To guarantee a profit, you cover the other side using matched betting or arbitrage betting.

    There are also SR (stake returned) free bets, but they are rare. Free bets are usually (but not always) only given to new customers. Also, please make sure to check the bookmakers free bet rules, as they might differ from one another.

    Read about the differences between free bets and signup bonuses.

    What is a Lay Bet in Sports Betting?2023-06-20T13:17:57+02:00

    Lay betting is an important part of sure betting.

    The difference between a regular bet (also known as a back bet) and a lay bet, is that on a back bet you bet on a team/player to win. If you were to place a lay bet on the same team/player, you bet on that team/player NOT to win. You can place a lay bet on exchanges such as BetfairMatchbook and Smarkets.

    Read more about lay betting and see lay bet examples in the Ultimate guide to sure betting.

    What is a Palpable Error in sports betting?2023-05-09T13:38:38+02:00

    A bookmaker can cancel (void) your bet, claiming it was a palpable error (or a “palp”). This can occur when a bookmaker has made what they call “an obvious mistake”, such as reversed the odds of a match or some other kind of accidental error made while quoting the odds.

    Our servers filter away a lot of obvious palps, and automatically hide them for you, but in rare occasions they might get past our filtering systems. If the sure- or value bet is particularly high, this might be an indication that the risk of palpable error is higher than normal.

     

    What is the difference between the different bookmaker bonuses?2023-06-20T11:54:45+02:00

    Below you’ll learn what sportsbook bonuses are and how they differ from each other. You can take advantage of bookmaker bonuses to increase your bankroll.

    See the FAQ about free bets.

    Read about the differences between free bets and signup bonuses.

    See the FAQ about deposit and signup bonuses.

    The definition of sportsbook bonuses:

    Bonus Types

    Bonus TypeStake returnedOnly for new usersAlso known as
    Free bet SNRNoUsuallyMatched Bet
    Free bet SRYesUsually
    Signup bonusYesYes
    Deposit bonusYesUsually
    Reload bonusYesNo
    What markets are supported?2023-11-23T09:40:58+01:00
    • 2-way (also known as Win, MoneyLine, PuckLine or Draw no bet)
    • 1X2 (also known as 3-way)
    • Handicap bets, such as:
      • Asian Handicap (where one team is given a handicap)
      • European Handicap (also known as 1×2 handicap or  3-way handicap)
      • Set handicap, Game handicap in Tennis
    • Over / Under (bet if the combined score in a game will be over or under a number)
    • Double Chance (bet on a team including draw)
    • Draw no bet (AH0 or DNB) means you get your stake back if it’s a draw
    • Lay-betting at Betfair/Betdaq/Smarkets/Matchbook
    • Total Games over/under, Total  Sets over/under in Tennis
    • Half time (also displayed as 1H in RebelBetting, ValueBetting and MatchedBetting)
    • Regular time
    • Over time

    Bet types/markets and their meaning

    The section below covers the most common bet types. But first, we’ll have to address the fact that bookmakers can be somewhat inconsistent in naming bet types.

    It’s quite frustrating when you’re about to place a bet, to not even find the correct bet type on the bookmaker website. But the bet type might just be presented with a different name than what you are looking for. This is because some bet types are referred to differently in different parts of the world. For a sports betting beginner, this can be rather confusing. But with a little practice, you’ll soon learn how each bookmaker presents their odds.

    Read more about the different bet types in the Ultimate Guide to Sure Betting.

    Win / Moneyline / Draw No Bet

    Also known as straight bet, DNB or 2-way bet.

    One of the most popular bet types and is offered in various sports. This market simply means betting on a specific team to win a game, match or other event.

    The term “win” is used almost everywhere, while “moneyline” is mostly used in the United States and a few other regions. The term “straight bet” can also be used for this type of wager.

    Draw No Bet

    In the case of three possible outcomes, as in soccer, a draw results in your stake being returned. Hence the name “draw no bet”. Additionally, an Asian handicap of 0 (AH0) is the same as Draw No Bet, as it also eliminates the option of a draw.

    1X2

    1X2 is one of the most popular bet types in soccer. A 1X2 bet involves a match of two teams with three possible outcomes: Home (1), Draw (X) and Away (2). This market may also be known as Full Time Result, Match Betting, or Three-Way Bet.

    Asian Handicap (AH)

    Also known as point spread, puckline (hockey), game handicap (tennis) or map handicap (e-sports)

    A handicap in betting means that the bookmaker has given a virtual advantage to one of the competitors. The main reason for handicapping is that the draw result is eliminated. (The two odds also move closer to 2.00, which can help even out your variance).

    With an Asian Handicap, a draw is known as a push and you are refunded part or all of your original wager.

    AH0 = DNB (Draw no bet)
    Additionally, you can use the level Asian handicap betting market which displays the handicap as 0. If the game ended in a draw, your stake would be returned – effectively achieving the same outcome as a Draw No Bet.

    Half and quarter Asian Handicaps
    Half and quarter Asian handicap is also known as a split handicap because the initial bet is split between two handicaps.

    Read more about Asian Handicap betting

    European Handicap (EH)

    Also known as 3-way handicap or 1X2 handicap

    European handicap is basically a 3-way bet, similar to a 1X2 match result bet. In matches where there is a difference in strength between the two teams, a handicap is placed on the underdog, to even out the match.

    The difference with Asian handicap is that the EH is always an integer number. Instead of placing an Asian Handicap of -1,5 goals or -1,75 goals, the European handicap is always of a -1, -2, -3 etc. kind.

    If you bet on a European Handicap, a draw is possible, but a European Handicap draw can only be achieved if the favourite team matches the goal handicap.

    Over / Under (OU)

    Also known as Totals, Goal line

    Over/under bets are typically placed on soccer and basketball games but are common in other sports as well. You bet on the total number of goals/points that will be scored in the match, no matter which team. In tennis, you can bet on the total number of sets or games that will be played before the match is over.

    Who wins the match is irrelevant. Bookmakers will offer odds and set a line at what they estimate the total goals or points in the match are likely to be.

    Example: In a football match, if you bet on over 3 goals, you lose your bet if only one or two goals are scored and win if more than three goals are scored. If exactly three goals are scored, your stake will be refunded.

    Half point over/under example: If you bet on “under 2.5 goals” and there are one or two goals in the game, you win. If there are three or more, you lose the bet. The middle option is effectively removed in a half-point over/under.

    Double chance

    A double chance bet allows you to cover two of the three possible outcomes in a match with one bet. This type of bet is often offered for soccer games. When betting on a Double chance bet there are three possible options to bet on:

    Home or Draw (1X) – Your bet will win if the home team wins or the match ends in a draw. It will lose if the away team wins.

    Draw or Away (X2) – Your bet wins if the away team wins or it’s a draw. You lose if the home team wins.

    Home or Away(12) – With this bet, you win if there’s a winner regardless of whether it’s the home or away team. Your bet will lose if the match ends in a draw.

    Lay bet

    Lay betting is a bet type offered by betting exchanges and is a kind of bet where you bet on something not to happen. With a regular bet (also known as a back bet) you bet on something to happen.

    Lay betting basically gives bettors an option to play the role of the bookmaker, offering odds to sell a bet instead of to back a bet. Learn more about Lay betting.

    What you must know when betting on baseball2023-05-09T13:18:23+02:00

    When placing an arb on baseball, there are a few things you must check before placing the arb.

    1. Make sure the bet is either “action” or “listed”

    By placing a bet on the “action”, you are tied into the line no matter what — even if there are any late pitching changes.
    If you choose to bet the “listed” pitcher, your bet will only be valid if the pitchers listed at the time you placed your wager take the mound.

    2. Check that the starting pitchers are the same on both bookmakers

    Bookmaker might have different starting pitchers listed on the same baseball match. If the listed starting pitchers do not start, the bet will be void. That is why you must check that the listed starting pitchers are the same on both bookmakers.

    3. Check that the time of the match is the same on both bookmakers

    Sometimes, the same two baseball teams can meet each other twice on the same day. And because bookmakers use different time zones and daylight savings, our servers might match two different games (on the same day) together. That is why you must double check that you are placing your bets on the same match.

    What you should know before betting on Ice Hockey2023-05-09T13:43:20+02:00

    Before placing arbs on Ice Hockey, you need to know the following:

    Overtime rules for hockey often differ between bookmakers, and sometimes between different leagues or markets. Please verify that the overtime rules are the same on all bookmakers before placing your bets. Failure to do so might lead to unexpected losses if the game ends in a draw after regular time.

    Why do different matches show up in the same arb?2023-05-09T13:17:56+02:00

    Team names
    Bookmakers often have different names on the same team. As an example in Ice Hockey, the Russian U20 youth team could be named:

    • Russia U20
    • Russia Youth
    • Russia

    – The name Russia Youth could refer to their U18 team, U20 team, or even their U18 Women’s team.
    – The name Russia could refer to all Russia’s national teams.

    As you can see, the best is to name the team Russia U20, as this could only be the U20 team. But unfortunately, bookmakers can name the team as they see fit.

    Event names
    The same applies to the bookmakers names on events/cups. For instance, the international Ice Hockey tournament Karjala Cup could be named:

    • Karjala Cup
    • Internationals
    • Friendlies

    – The name Internationals could refer to Karjala Cup, World Cup, International Friendlies, International Youth matches etcetera etcetera. Basically, all international events could be named Internationals. The same applies to the event Friendlies (yes, some bookmakers have the event name Friendlies for all kinds of matches, including international cups).

    As you can see, the best is to name the event above Karjala Cup, as this could only refer to Karjala Cup. Unfortunately, bookmakers can name the events as they see fit as well.

     

    Please note!

    Because of the bookmakers inconsistent naming of teams and events, situations could occur to be aware of.
    As an example, these two very different tournaments are played at the same day:

      Bookmaker 1 Bookmaker 2
    Actual Event Karjala Cup U20 4 Nations Tournament
    Actual Teams Russia – Finland Russia U20 – Finland U20
    Bookmaker Event Name Internationals International Youth
    Bookmaker Team Names Russia – Finland Russia – Finland

     

    Note that the above team names are the same on both bookmakers. In reality, the Russian and Finnish senior teams are playing against eachother (in Karjala Cup) at the same time that the Russian and Finnish U20 teams (in a youth tournament). This could lead to a false arb between Russia (Bookmaker 1) and Finland U20 (Bookmaker 2).

    • To avoid situations like these, please check that the teams you are betting on are playing in the same tournament before placing the arb.
    Why do the number of playable arbs differ so much?2023-05-09T13:23:29+02:00

    Generally, the closer to an event it is, the more bets appear. This is due to the fact that sportsbooks tend to adjust their odds more frequently closer to a match (depending on lots of factors such as the weather, injuries, team/player form, rumors and so on). Some bookmakers also adjust odds in order to attract more customers closer to an event (to even out their risk, they always want about the same monetary risk on all outcomes).

    The number of bets available therefore depends on how many, and which sportsbook accounts you have available, what the sport is in the sure bet, season (what events are running), day of the week and even time of the day. Most often there are more bets at the end of the week (Thursday-Sunday) because more matches are played at the weekend.

    Why yield and CLV is lower than the value when value betting2024-01-22T13:45:11+01:00

    If you place 1000 value bets with our ValueBetting service, all with a 4.4% value — your closing line value will on average be 2.6%.

    So why is it that average CLV and yield is always lower than your average value at bet placement in the long run?

    The major reason is that the sharp bookmaker margin typically shrinks over time. As we get closer to match start, the sharp bookmakers get more confident in their odds, thus lowering the margin. As margins shrink, sharp odds will increase slightly, bringing down the value of the bet.

    As explained by Joseph Buchdahl: “where net market movement is zero between opening and closure, a closing price will still be a little longer [higher, less likely] than it’s opening one”.

    So, while it’s frustrating to see the value decreasing, it’s a completely expected movement in the betting market. And an average yield of 2.6% per bet will still give you a pretty amazing profit over time.

    Statistics from ValueBetting (5 million bets placed)

    • 60% of all sharp odds will increase between bet placement and match start (closing odds).
    • Value shrinks by 40% on average from bet placement.
    • 84% of all our value bets still beat the closing line. This is the most important metric in sports betting.
    • 69% of all our value bets beat the closing line and still has a positive value (adjusting for margin).

    You should always bet on the highest value while still turning over your bankroll as often as possible. But knowing your yield will end up around 40% lower than the average value, try to set your minimum value filter accordingly. For example, if you want a 2.6% average yield, your average value at bet placement should be 4.4%.

    “A game changer”

    Value betting and Sure betting are two really interesting products from RebelBetting that are tailored for you who wants to take betting to the next level. You’ll be sent loads of profitable bets your way and will learn a completely new approach to betting – a game changer! Read the Swedish RebelBetting article.

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    Not only can you not lose with RebelBetting’s first month Profit Guarantee, you won’t lose with their outstanding and consistent strike rates! Simply follow their value betting, track the live scores as you play, and you’ll be well on your way to becoming a profitable bettor.

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    “It’s taken me less than two months of value betting to make as much as I made from matched betting in a year”
    Read the full interview here.
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    I love this type of platform where there is the possibility of making risk-controlled investments that give long-term returns. Also, it is very rare, in any sector, to find such careful and punctual customer care.

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    The program works and is easy to use. I started with around €1600 and have a €1000 profit now after one month.

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    I have placed about 4500 value bets, while I have almost quadrupled my initial deposit by now, in less than 2 months.

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    Thanks to you guys I’m finally profiting from betting.

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