Sure Betting – Help Section
Sure betting tips and sports arbitrage betting explained.
Video material
What is sure betting?
Learn the basic concept of sure betting and how you can profit from it.
How to place a sure bet
Learn how to place a sure bet with RebelBetting
What you need to know to get started
This video lists the four things you need in order to become successful with sure betting or value betting.
Mikael made €2,000 in one month from sure betting
See the impressive sure betting results from sports bettor Mikael when he uses RebelBetting.
Value betting vs sure betting
Learn the difference between sure betting (sports arbitrage) and value betting.
How to avoid bookmaker limitations
Check out all our best tips to make your bookmaker accounts last as long as possible.
How to make €100 in 10 seconds
See how easy Mikael made a whole day’s salary in less than a minute just by placing one sure bet.
Interview with 3 sports bettors
This video covers the main insights from interviews with three RebelBetting customers.
FAQ
Get started with a small bankroll
MatchedBetting
If you have less than €100, you should start bonus hunting with Matched betting. You will usually get €100-200 from each new bookmaker in a short while, so earning €1500 in a couple of weeks is common. While investing just a few hours effective time! You can then return to MatchedBetting after a few months when new bonuses appear.
Value betting
After you have earned all possible bonuses, you can move up to Value betting. It’s our latest product, easy to use and with great yearly profits.
Sure betting
If you’re interested in minimizing your risks and bankroll swings, arbitrage trading (sure betting) is more your thing. Depending on your bankroll, we have two different alternatives.
If you have around €1500 or more, you’re ready to move up to Sure betting, our world famous sports arbitrage software since 2008. The Pro version is an advanced product with very little risk and the same profit potential as value betting.
How to log your bets
Logging your bets is highly recommended for all users, both value betting and sure betting.
Benefits of logging your bets
How to log your bets
After placing your bet, click the “Log” button and the bet will be saved to the BetTracker. That’s it! It couldn’t be easier.
You log your bets in the bet details view. To view your logged bets, go to the BetTracker by clicking the “Tracker” button 
(at the footer panel).
ROI vs Yield – what’s the difference?
ROI and Yield are a couple of the most important metrics in sports betting. In this FAQ, you will get to know what they mean and why they are important if you want to become a profitable sports bettor.
ROI – Return On Investment
ROI in sports betting is a measure of how much your bankroll increased during a specific period. This could for example be one month, one year or even since the beginning of your betting career.
ROI will typically increase over time, whereas Yield will stay roughly the same.
How do you calculate ROI?
Calculating your ROI is pretty straight forward. Just divide your Total profit with your Starting bankroll.
Example: You have made a profit of €900 and started with a €3,000 bankroll. To calculate your ROI: 900 / 3,000 = 0.30 = 30%. This means that your ROI would be 30% in this case.
Note: In RebelBetting, we show the ROI for each individual value- or sure bet. In this context, ROI shows how much you will profit by betting on one value bet or sure bet, compared to the money invested (the total stake).
Yield – Return per bet
Yield, in sports betting terms, means how much you profit per bet, or per unit invested (what you staked).
Your Yield is a measure on how efficient your betting is. It doesn’t take the size of your bankroll into account, so it’s a good relative number to compare with other trading strategies, or other users.
Also, Yield doesn’t change depending on bankroll and will typically not increase over time, as ROI does.
How to calculate Yield?
Calculating Yield in sports betting is also very easy. You just divide your Total profit with your Total stake (or turnover).
Example: As in the previous example, your Total profit is €900. To achieve this profit, you have staked a total of €20,000. To calculate your Yield: 900 / 20,000 = 0.045 = 4.5%. This means that your ROI would be 4.5% in this case.
Equally important – the Closing Line Value (CLV)
Another equally important metric to measure if your betting is profitable is the closing line value or CLV.
Start your free trial
Make your first profit today with the 14 day trial
Completely free, no credit card required
1XBet
There have been multiple reports of unethical business practices by 1XBet:
- Withdrawals taking many weeks to complete
- Lack of support
- Even a few frozen accounts or regular thefts have been reported
Some customers seem to use them without any issues at all though.
Be careful when using them. Use only small sums, or avoid altogether if unsure.
Horse racing rules
When betting on horse racing, there are two rules which you need to be familiar with. Those two rules are Tattersall’s rule and Dead Heat rule. Tattersall’s rule applies when a horse is withdrawn from the race before start. Dead Head rule applies when two or more horses are deemed winners.
Horse arbs in RebelBetting are always between a regular bookmaker and an exchange. These rules generally doesn’t affect your arb since you back and lay the same horse.
Tattersall’s rule (Rule 4 c deductions)
When you place your bet, the odds displayed are based on all horses running in the race. If a horse is a non runner, i.e. not starting, the price will be revised for the remaining horses. Most bookmakers follow the same reduction table. The table can be found here
However, betting exchanges apply the reduction a bit different. While Rule 4 is normally applied on the winnings, exchanges applies the rule on total return.
Dead Heat rule
A term to denote a tie between two or, rarely, more runners in a race. If there is a Dead Heat, you will win part of your bet and lose part of your bet. This rarely occurs.
How much money can I make by sure betting?
It is realistic to make around 10-20% profit of your total bankroll every month – but you can of course make even more. One key factor is the amount of time you spend arbitrage betting.
Take a look yourself to see how much money you’ll make with when Sure betting!
Don’t forget, like most things it depends on how much time and effort you spend.
More user results
Curious to see real results from RebelBetting users? Join the RebelBetting community. This is a place for you to share and discuss results, betting strategies and much more.
Profit Guarantee
We know our products work.
In fact, we are so confident about it that we offer a Profit Guarantee.
If you don’t make a betting profit in the first month you get another month for free.
Again and again until you profit. We take all the risk.
Isn’t Sports Arbitrage dead?
As long as the bookmakers compete against each other to get customers and are not in complete agreement of odds, there will always be sports arbitrage (or ‘sure betting‘) opportunities. Here’s why:
There are a lot of online sportsbooks. And a lot of bookmakers means a lot of competition over the customers. Sportsbooks use high odds to attract customers. And since odds are basically their estimation (+ their risk management), it’s basically a calculated guess. And bookmakers will not always agree with their competitors guesses.
This is why sports arbitrage works so well. By betting on two (or more) sufficiently high odds on different sportsbooks, you can cover all outcomes of a match and be guaranteed to win. As a RebelBetting user, you can take advantage of this situation and change the game to your advantage.
Sports arbitrages compared to financial arbitrages
Surebets differ in one crucial way compared to arbitrages in the financial markets. If you purchase gold on one exchange and then sell it in another, the price will be nearly identical. Financial arbitrages very rarely appear, and when they do they are immediately taken advantage of and disappear. The market always strives to be in perfect balance. This is not true for sports arbitrage.
If you think of the bookmakers as the markets, the odds can be seen as the price on a specific product. However, the odds/price is not reliant on supply and demand like in the stock market. It’s more a combination of the bookmakers estimation, risk management and market positioning (having attractive odds, a higher margin and possibly more risk). This is why odds are rarely identical across all bookmakers, and why thousands of sports arbitrages exist at any given moment.
Not convinced? Take a FREE 14 day trial of Sure betting and see for yourself.
Asian Handicap
Asian handicap betting is a very popular market to bet on, and is one of many supported markets of RebelBetting. A handicap in betting means that the bookmaker has given a virtual advantage to one of the competitors.
They are often called Asian handicaps, or just ‘AH’, because of the popularity in many Asian countries. They are also known as line betting, the spread or points betting.
The main reason for handicapping is that the draw result is eliminated. Read all about Asian handicap bets in the Ultimate guide to sure betting.
AH0 or Draw No Bet (DNB)
Draw no bet is a special case where no actual handicap is applied, but the draw is still eliminated. This is why it’s also sometimes called AH0 (Asian Handicap 0). If the match ends in a draw, your stake will be returned to you. No profit, no loss.
Half Asian Handicaps
The team gets half a goal handicap. This means the match including handicap cannot end in a draw. One of the teams will always win with “half a goal” when handicap is applied. Unlike Draw No Bet, there is no money back in any case. You will either win or lose your bet.
Quarter Asian Handicaps
A quarter goal Asian handicap is a 50/50 split between the two surrounding handicaps, with half of total stake going to each one of them. This means that a 1.75 handicap is really half a 1.5 and half a 2.0 handicap.
Asian Handicap outcomes
Below is a handy Asian handicap outcome table describing the various handicap types, and what happens in various scenarios:
| Handicap | Team result | Bet result | Handicap | Team result | Bet result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Win | Win | 0 | Win | Win |
| Draw | Stake refund | Draw | Stake refund | ||
| Lose | Lose | Lose | Lose | ||
| – 0.25 | Win | Win | + 0.25 | Win | Win |
| Draw | Half lose | Draw | Half win | ||
| Lose | Lose | Lose | Lose | ||
| – 0.50 | Win | Win | + 0.50 | Win | Win |
| Draw | Lose | Draw | Win | ||
| Lose | Lose | Lose | Lose | ||
| – 0.75 | Win by 2+ | Win | + 0.75 | Win | Win |
| Win by 1 | Half win | Draw | Win | ||
| Draw | Lose | Lose by 1 | Half Lose | ||
| Lose | Lose | Lose by 2+ | Lose | ||
| – 1.00 | Win by 2+ | Win | + 1.00 | Win | Win |
| Win by 1 | Stake refund | Draw | Win | ||
| Draw | Lose | Lose by 1 | Stake refund | ||
| Lose | Lose | Lose by 2+ | Lose | ||
| – 1.25 | Win by 2+ | Win | + 1.25 | Win | Win |
| Win by 1 | Half lose | Draw | Win | ||
| Draw | Lose | Lose by 1 | Half win | ||
| Lose | Lose | Lose by 2+ | Lose | ||
| – 1.50 | Win by 2+ | Win | + 1.50 | Win | Win |
| Win by 1 | Lose | Draw | Win | ||
| Draw | Lose | Lose by 1 | Win | ||
| Lose | Lose | Lose by 2+ | Lose | ||
| – 1.75 | Win by 3+ | Win | + 1.75 | Win | Win |
| Win by 2 | Half win | Draw | Win | ||
| Win by 1 | Lose | Lose by 1 | Win | ||
| Draw | Lose | Lose by 2 | Half lose | ||
| Lose | Lose | Lose by 3+ | Lose | ||
| – 2.00 | Win by 3+ | Win | + 2.00 | Win | Win |
| Win by 2 | Stake refund | Draw | Win | ||
| Win by 1 | Lose | Lose by 1 | Win | ||
| Draw | Lose | Lose by 2 | Stake refund | ||
| Lose | Lose | Lose by 3+ | Lose |
Surebet
A sure bet is another word for a sports arbitrage bet, a method of turning sports betting into an investment.
By using high odds, RebelBetting will help you bet on all outcomes of a match, and make a profit no matter which team wins.
Read all about sports arbitrage.
Neteller problems
If you have forgotten your Neteller login or password, or your account has been frozen, you need to go to Neteller support.
If you get information that he login or password is wrong, and you are certain they are not: This can be because your “secure id” has expired. Once every year you need to log in to Neteller to get a new secure id. If the secure id has expired, you will see this error when trying to log in. Log in to Neteller and if you get information about a new secure id, your account can now be used to subscribe to RebelBetting.
If you get any other error message on Neteller when trying to subscribe, contact RebelBetting support and send the exact error message so we can help you.
Is value- and sure betting possible from my country?
It mostly depends on if the bookmakers will accept you as a customer. The more bookmakers you can use, the easier betting will be. The laws regarding online betting in your country will affect the bookmakers you’re allowed to register on. Sometimes a bookmaker will have some arbitrary business reason to restrict users from certain countries. (Note that the concept of arbitrage trading in itself is legal all over the world, as long as online betting is allowed).
If you’re from the UK, Scandinavia, most of Europe, Japan, South Korea or Australia, you’re in luck! You will be welcome on most bookmakers. We don’t keep an updated list of allowed countries on all bookmakers, and since this information can be difficult to find, it might be quicker just to ask the bookmakers, or try to register.
Even if you’re from a country with restrictions, there is hope! We have RebelBetting users from over 120 countries.
One option is to use the account of a friend in another country, and a VPN to effectively surf from that country. Note that this might break the terms & conditions of some bookmakers, so it’s your obligation to make sure this is OK. You can find more detailed information about this on the internet.
Read more about how to improve your privacy.
Privacy and hiding your identity
It’s a good idea to keep as much privacy as possible towards the bookmakers when you’re using profitable betting products.
Step one is to hide your IP number and making it harder to uniquely identify (“fingerprint”) you. The first rule is to use a VPN service. VPN stands for “virtual private network” and means that all your internet traffic goes through a “tunnel” that secures, encrypts and anonymizes you and your location.
Why you should use a VPN
- If you want to create a second account on a bookmaker, you need to use a different IP-number if you want to avoid suspicion.
- If you want to register on a bookmaker that has restricted your country, a VPN can make it look like you’re located somewhere else.
- Allows you to place bets from restricted countries with censorship.
- If you’re labeled as an expert trader by one bookmaker, you might get limited by others if they can uniquely identify you. There are rumors of bookmakers working together to identify unwanted players. Using a VPN and the tips below will help you stay unlimited for longer in these cases.
Bonus benefits:
- View restricted streaming services and TV channels that are blocked in your country.
- Your traffic is never logged and cannot be traced.
We have done a thorough comparison of all VPN services and can strongly recommend NordVPN. For a thorough explanation of why, read our review of NordVPN and get a 77% discount!
More tips
Clear all cookies between sessions. Bookmakers can track you through third-party sites like advertising networks and social media.
Do this: Make a special shortcut to start a web browser in private / incognito mode.
Hide your social media identity. Never use your social media email when registering with bookmakers. They can and will profile you and your network. If you follow a known sports trader on Twitter, that might be enough to label you as unwanted.
Do this: If you’re surfing using RebelBetting, you’re safe. We use a completely separate web browser, with cookies and cache files that are never shared with your regular web browser. If using a web browser, use the clear cookies method above.
If you have multiple accounts, you need to take extra precautions. Don’t use the bookmakers’ mobile app (they have multiple ways of detecting you, including GPS location). Be even more careful with clearing cookies, preferably use another Windows (a virtual PC is a simple method) or at the minimum another web browser. Always use a VPN and change IP between logins. Use different deposit and withdrawal methods.
It’s very easy to detect if you’re using the same web browser on the same computer for example. Bookmakers can even detect the fonts you have installed in your OS. Use this fingerprint checker.
If you use a VPN and these tips, you will be as safe as is practically possible. If you want even more protection, you can set up one or several virtual machines with a clean installation of the most common Windows OS and web browser.
If you haven’t already, set up a VPN now!
Risks with high arbitrages
Trying to go after the highest arbs all the time is usually not a good strategy in the long run. The reason is that high arbs have a higher risk of including odds that are bookmaker mistakes, or so called palpable errors. Sometimes, the bookmaker will even void your bet. While they do pay you back your stake, it can still cost you if the voided bet was the winning one. Betting on smaller arbs more frequently will result in a lesser risk for palps and you might also be limited less quickly.
Also, as a guideline, double-check that the arb you bet on is correct and that there hasn’t been a market mix up. Be extra cautious when it comes to arbs over 10%. Also, check that the teams you are betting on are playing in the same tournament before placing the arb.
Can I run RebelBetting on Linux?
You can run RebelBetting on Linux. RebelBetting products are platform independent and can be used with any web browser.
Learn more about sure betting as an investment method.
Can’t access pinnacle.com?
If you can’t access pinnacle.com, please try their mirror website.
What you should know before betting on Ice Hockey
Before placing arbs on Ice Hockey, you need to know the following:
Overtime rules for hockey often differ between bookmakers, and sometimes between different leagues or markets. Please verify that the overtime rules are the same on all bookmakers before placing your bets. Failure to do so might lead to unexpected losses if the game ends in a draw after regular time.
Betfair and RebelBetting
If you don’t have a Betfair account yet, you should register now.
Betfair arbitrages
RebelBetting is a licensed Betfair software since 2014. This means we work together with Betfair to bring you the fastest possible odds updates and the most sports arbitrages.
New to sports arbitrage?
Did you know you can bet on both sides of a match and profit no matter the outcome?
RebelBetting helps turn gambling into an investment method using Betfair.
Read more about sports arbitrage (sure betting) here.
You need to log in to Betfair inside RebelBetting before you will get Betfair odds. This is a requirement from Betfair to keep track of their users.
Click on the “Betfair Login” button at the top right corner of RebelBetting to login. Your password will never be saved, only sent encrypted to Betfair.
Remember: if you don’t log in to Betfair you will not see any Betfair odds at all.
Placing a bet with Betfair
Some general information about the layout above:
- You find the best odds available to the left.
- “Available” means available market depth at Betfair
- If the available market depth is smaller than your suggested bet-size, a warning will appear: “Stake is larger than available market depth”
Placing a bet on Betfair through RebelBetting is extremely easy
- Change your stake if needed
- Click the yellow “Place bet” button
If the checkbox “Confirm bets before placing” is ticked, you will need to confirm the bet before the bet is placed. Otherwise the bet will be placed instantly.
Login at startup
We strongly recommended you login to Betfair automatically when RebelBetting starts up. This will enable automatic background fetching of updated Betfair odds, which means many more arbitrage situations.
Login at startup is is enabled in Options / Bookmaker Setup / Betfair (click on screenshot above). You will then get a login form every time RebelBetting starts.
Betfair App Directory
RebelBetting is a certified Betfair application and can found in the Betfair App Directory.
Proxy and Betfair
A security requirement from Betfair is that no proxy of any kind is used when communicating with them. This means if you must use a proxy, you cannot take advantage of the Betfair integration.
You do however have the option of running all Betfair communication directly, ignoring your proxy. (All other RebelBetting communication still use your proxy).
Software update problems
In rare occasions, you might find that an update of the software stops at 100% when downloading the latest version of RebelBetting.
If this happens, just download and install RebelBetting from ‘scratch’: https://www.rebelbetting.com/download
Retention Rate
Retention rate is an indication of how much of your bonus you will retain after placing a bet.
A bet with 100% retention rate means that if you bet your entire bonus on that bet your entire bonus will be intact. That is, if you have a €50 bonus and bet the whole amount on one outcome, you will still have €50. A bet with 95% retention rate and a €50 bonus means that if you bet the whole amount you will have €47.50 left of your bonus (95% of 50).
This calculation applies to free bets where the whole bonus amount can be wagered and cleared in a single bet. A bonus with rollover requirements is calculated a bit different. (Rollover means you need to bet the money a fixed number of times before the bonus can be withdrawn). A bonus of €50 with a rollover requirement of 5 times means that a total amount of €250 has to be wagered. When wagering €250 with a retention rate of 95% you will have €237.50 left (95% of 250). This means that you have lost €12.50 when clearing your bonus. Since the bonus was €50 you have retained €37.50 (50-12.50).
Another way of calculating this is as follows. You loose 5% (100 – 95) each time you bet your €50 bonus, which calculates to €2.50. Loosing €2.50 for 5 consecutive times equals €12.5.
Now, imagine that you wager your bonuses on bet with retention rates higher than 100%. This means that you will keep your entire bonus, and possibly also earn a bit more on each bet. Select bets with as high retention rate as possible since it will let you keep as much of your bonus as possible when meeting the rollover requirements.
MatchedBetting often displays these positive retention rates because we have access to arbitrage odds.
Taxation on bets
Some bookmakers may charge a tax on your bets, depending on where you reside or where the bookmaker has its license. We’ve developed a solution for this tax where you can specify which taxation method (if any) is applied to any bookmaker account.
The sure bet / value percentage will then be adjusted accordingly, fully automatic of course. You can find this setting under Options/Bookmaker. You can select each bookmaker in the drop-down menu and specify tax settings individually.
There are different ways in how bookmakers handle taxation. Some take a percent of the Profit or a percent of the Stake. Other bookmakers chose to completely ignore it (doesn’t charge any tax on your bets).
Taxation table for German customers
Below you can find the taxation percentage for customers from Germany for some bookmakers. Please let us know if any of the sportsbooks below have changed their tax percentages.
Selecting a different bookmaker domain
You can select to use a different bookmaker domain (Options/Bookmaker Setup) if the standard bookmaker domain is not available from your country. For instance from bet365.com to bet365.com.au.
If you select another bookmaker domain, please note the following
- No guarantee can be made that the AutoLogin and/or AutoSurf will work. Sorry about this!
- The bookmakers odds (that is in the arb) might not be available at another bookmaker domain. This is because of the fact that some bookmakers offer different odds (and sometimes not even odds at all) on the same match depending on what domain you are using.
Important: Do not change the bookmaker domain unless you absolutely have to!
Matchbook tips & commission explained
Matchbook betting tips
Matchbook is a bit different when compared to Betfair, Betdaq or Smarkets. Below are som general tips to make it easier using Matchbook.
1. Enter your Matchbook settings and select “Back-Lay” under “Exchange Type” (highlighted in the screenshot below). Now you will see the odds in the same way as in Betfair, instead of Matchbooks “Binary” odds which can be difficult to understand.
2. Let’s say that you wish to lay (bet against) Man City. In the below screenshot you can see that the lay-odds is 3.560 (with a market depth of $2,500). Click on that odds to add the bet into your “Order Pad”.
3. “b-stake” is your “Backers stake” (the amount you wish to win). “L-stake” is your liability (what you risk to lose).
For more information about lay-betting, just go to the lay-bet FAQ.
Matchbook commission explained
Matchbook charges 2-4% commission on bets. Full explanation here
0% Commission Promotion
Sometimes Matchbook runs promotions where they set commission to 0% for RebelBetting customers.
If you have registered for this promotion with your Matchbook username, the comission calculation is automatically adjusted.
If you HAVEN’T registered, the ROI calculation is incorrect and you need to calculate yourself manually.
How to take a good screenshot
Sometimes we will ask if you can send us a screenshot of the Betting Browser if you have a specific problem of some sort.
This is an example of a good screenshot, showing the entire Betting Browser:
If you are unsure how to take a screenshot, please follow the below links:
Windows 7/Vista
Use the Snipping Tool to take a screenshot. Video explanation here
Windows XP
How to take a screenshot in XP
From RebelBetting
You can take a screenshot of the important parts of the Betting Browser (after you click Bet). Just click the “Screenshots” button in the bottom right.
If you have low resolution, you sometimes need to maximize the important bookmaker before taking a screenshot. Use the F1-F3 buttons for this, and F4 to restore the view.
Tennis betting rules
The bookies have different retirement rules on certain sports, where tennis matches are the most common sport to have different rules on. There are four different tennis rules on the market today, and they can be categorized as follows.
Don't gamble! Turn tennis betting into an investment instead
Now with a 100% Profit Guarantee.
Tennis rules on your bookmaker
Use the search function or browse through all supported bookmakers below.
Please note!
Bookmakers can change their rules at any time. Therefore, we can not guarantee that the information in this FAQ is 100% up-to-date.
Palpable Error
A bookmaker can cancel (void) your bet, claiming it was a palpable error (or a “palp”). This can occur when a bookmaker has made what they call “an obvious mistake”, such as reversed the odds of a match or some other kind of accidental error made while quoting the odds.
Our servers filter away a lot of obvious palps, and automatically hide them for you, but in rare occasions they might get past our filtering systems. If the sure- or value bet is particularly high, this might be an indication that the risk of palpable error is higher than normal.