When people first hear about value betting, they usually ask the same question: "Does it really work?" The best way to answer is not with theory, but with proof. Today, we're diving into the real RebelBetting results from one of our Swedish users, Björn.

Over 14 months, Björn went from a 30,000 SEK (about €2700) bankroll to a profit of 273,000 SEK (about €25k)– a return of 911%. His story shows not only the potential of value betting, but also the challenges along the way.

And while Björn's case is extraordinary, the average RebelBetting customer doubles their initial bankroll within the first three months. That's the power of having math on your side.

Starting the Value Betting Journey

Björn began his RebelBetting journey with 30,000 SEK (about €3,000). Like many beginners, he wasn't sure what to expect. Then, something remarkable happened: his first month exploded with a profit of 107,000 SEK (around €10,000).

That kind of start isn't typical, and it's important to understand variance (more on that later). But psychologically, this early win gave Björn the confidence to push through the inevitable downturns.

"In my first month of value betting, I had a profit of 107,000 SEK. It's a crazy result – nothing to count on, but it helped me stay confident later on." – Björn, RebelBetting user

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The Numbers: Real RebelBetting Results

After 14 months, Björn's betting history tells a clear story:

  • Over 32,000 bets placed

  • 7 million SEK in total turnover

  • Yield: 3.87% (beating his expected yield of 3.09%)

  • ROI: 911% (That's wild

  • Total profit: 273,000 SEK

These RebelBetting results are proof of how consistent betting on value works over time. It's not luck, it's math. When the odds are in your favor, the long-term outcome becomes predictable.

The Ups and Downs of Value Betting

One of the biggest lessons from Björn's journey is that value betting is not a straight upward line. After his hot start, he went through four difficult months (October 2023 – February 2024) where profits stalled. Thousands of bets went in, but the results didn't follow.

For many new bettors, this is the breaking point. Doubt creeps in, motivation fades, and quitting feels tempting. But value betting is all about long-term math, not short-term emotions.

Björn pushed through, and the results soon turned around again. By March 2024, profits surged back up – exactly how variance theory predicts.

Key Lessons From 14 Months of RebelBetting Results

1. Variance Is Real

Winning streaks feel amazing, but losing streaks will happen. Accept them as part of the process, not proof that value betting "doesn't work."

2. Bet Volume Matters

32,000 bets in 14 months may sound extreme, but volume is what makes the math play out. That adds up to around 75 bets per day, and with the easy interface of RebelBetting, that's not a challenge. The more bets placed, the more consistent the results.

3. Bankroll Management Is Everything

Björn started with €2700, but what kept him going was his discipline. He never risked money he couldn't afford, and he treated betting as an investment – not gambling. (Read more about bankroll management).

4. Limitations Happen

Some bookmakers limit accounts quickly. That's why it's smart to spread bets across as many bookmakers as possible. (See all our best tips on how to avoid bookmaker limitations).

5. Consistency Beats Motivation

Fatigue and doubt hit during losing streaks. The only way out is to keep placing bets. As Björn himself put it, "The only way out of a dip is actually placing bets." But always remember, if you feel like you need a short break from betting, you should take a break. We always promote responsible betting.

The Costs vs. The Profits

Over 14 months, Björn paid around €2,800 for RebelBetting Pro. That's roughly the same as his starting bankroll – but his profits multiplied that bankroll nine times.

He purchased month-to-month, but here's the kicker: if he had signed up for a yearly plan, he would have received a 30% discount, saving over €1,200. With hindsight, Björn admits this was a missed opportunity: the results spoke for themselves, and committing to a yearly plan would have made even more sense.

This highlights an important point: RebelBetting isn't a cost – it's an investment that pays for itself many times over.

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Tips for New Value Bettors

Here are some of Björn's practical takeaways that every beginner can use:

  • Start with a bankroll you can afford to grow
  • Use all bookmakers you can access – more options means more value
  • Focus on weekends when most bets are available
  • Set a low daily minimum bet target (like 30 bets) and hit it consistently
  • Don't overthink individual games – focus on percentages, not teams

And most importantly: treat value betting as investing. You're not betting on teams, you're betting on math.

Why These RebelBetting Results Matter

Stories like Björn's are powerful because they highlight the truth behind value betting: it's not a get-rich-quick scheme. It's not about "luck." It's a long-term, disciplined approach to beating the bookmakers at their own game.

The key? Patience, volume, and trust in the math.

And here's the best part: Björn's first 14 months are now history, but as he mentioned in the video, he's going to keep value betting, and he is still doing so in 2025 – and he's not planning to stop. That's what long-term investing in value betting looks like.

Ready to See Your Own RebelBetting Results?

Björn's 14 months prove what's possible when you stick to the process. But the real question is: what could your results look like?

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Antonia from RebelBetting

Author: Antonia Lowig, Content Marketing Manager

Antonia puts her passion for marketing and communication to work by crafting engaging articles. While juggling studies and a career, she enjoys the challenge of creating content that helps you learn the secrets behind profitable sports betting.